It will be the first moon landing by astronauts in more than 50 years. With Starship, the California-based SpaceX is focusing on the moon for now, with a $3 billion NASA contract to land astronauts on the lunar surface as early as 2025, using the upper stage spacecraft. He expects it will take a couple years to achieve full and rapid reusability. But with a fleet of Starships under construction at Starbase, he estimates an 80% chance that one of them will attain orbit by year’s end. As usual, Musk is remarkably blunt about his chances, giving even odds, at best, that Starship will reach orbit on its first flight.
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